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Biden is Right About One Thing — Oil and Natural Gas Aren’t Going Anywhere

A funny thing happened when President Biden went off script during his recent State of the Union speech and began jousting with a raucous group of Republican lawmakers.

He told the truth.

Now, that’s not to say the rest of what he said was lies, but in this unscripted moment, which began just as he was talking about climate change, he injected a moment of reality into his speech.

“We’re still going to need oil and gas for a while,” he said, probably to the chagrin of his speech writers.

READ — Understanding ESG & Colorado’s Energy Transformation

He then quickly added, in another off-the-cuff remark, that we’re going to need oil for “at least a decade.” It drew laughs from Republicans because, as conservative Jonah Goldberg tweeted, that’s like saying we’ll need water and oxygen for “at least a decade.”

Even though President Biden has continuously vilified this industry and made it harder to develop our natural resources, beginning with campaign pledges to shut down all drilling to his first few days in office when he shut down the Keystone pipeline and froze federal leasing, his unscripted moment brought a much-needed dose of reality to our national conversation on energy.

We need oil and natural gas to survive. And will, for years to come. Not just a decade.

The federal government, through its Energy Information Administration, projects that by 2050, we will need more oil and natural gas than today, not less. (To be fair, they also expect an even greater share of renewables in our energy mix.)

The global population is growing, and access to efficient, reliable and affordable energy is a human right. We will need all forms of energy to thrive, and attacking domestic production, shutting down infrastructure and making it harder to develop here only means we’ll rely on foreign countries for our energy, which is not an environmental solution and makes our country less secure.

READ — Do Hispanics Bear the Brunt of the Energy Crisis?

Today, oil and natural gas are the primary sources of energy for the global economy, supplying roughly 70 percent of the total global energy demand. In 2021, 81 percent of our primary energy in the United States came from fossil fuels. We will continue to need oil and natural gas for decades to come for many reasons. It is our challenge to produce it cleaner, better and safer here than anywhere on the globe.

But we need realistic conversations about where our energy comes from, and the trade-offs and benefits of all energy sources.

In Colorado, the governor recently renewed his pledge to move our state to 100 percent renewable energy by 2040. But just a few days prior, for nearly three days when the temperature hovered around 0, renewables provided almost no power to our electrical grid as the wind wasn’t blowing and the sun wasn’t shining. Natural gas and coal were the workforces that kept us safe and warm during that cold snap.

Knowing that we need these resources, we need to do a better job of sharing the positive environmental changes we’ve seen in recent years: The new technologies, the lowering of emissions and the promise of innovation and ingenuity.  Our elected leaders need to embrace that as well.

If you’re concerned about climate change, it’s important to note that today we’re powering our electric grid with more natural gas, wind, and solar energy than ever before. The environmental benefits have been, and will continue to be, profound because natural gas, as an energy source, has a low carbon dioxide emissions profile.

But that’s just part of the story. Numerous emissions reductions beyond CO2 have occurred as a result of this trend, with sulfur dioxide down 88 percent and ground-level ozone down 22 percent. The six most common pollutants (PM2.5 and PM10, SO2, NOx, VOCs, CO and Pb) are collectively down 73 percent. That’s a tremendous success story for our environment and our air quality.

In Colorado, we also can be proud that methane emissions from oil and natural gas production are decreasing, and our industry’s volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions have dropped nearly 60 percent since 2011. Technology improvements and regulations that reduce the chance for methane and VOCs to escape into our atmosphere are working.

Our industry continues to make tremendous progress in both the efficiency of energy consumption and in reducing greenhouse gases. However, more work must be done.

We can have the economy we desire and the environment we need, but we need to have realistic conversations about climate, where our energy comes from and what’s feasible. We also need to support policies and infrastructure that allows for continued domestic production, especially here in Colorado where we’re producing some of the cleanest molecules of energy on the planet.

Clean, affordable energy is the key to our world’s future, and oil and natural gas have an important role to play.

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Dan Haley is president and CEO of the Colorado Oil & Gas Association.

 

4 Biggest Risks of Real Estate Investing in 2023 and How to Minimize Them

Real estate investing is one of the surest paths to building wealth, but it’s not without certain risks. And in 2023’s unsettled and hazy market, those risks could sneak up on you. 

With demand tanking, prices flattening, mortgage rates at historic highs, inventory increasing, and general inflation driving up costs across the board, this is a completely different market than the one that investors were operating in for the past decade. And the only thing the experts agree on is that no one knows where it’s going from here. 

READ — How Do Interest Rates Impact Real Estate Investing?

So what should a real estate investor do in 2023? There’s no easy answer to that question, but we can tell you how to tackle and minimize some of the biggest risks of real estate investing in 2023. 

If you’re flipping houses, you might want to consider becoming a landlord

Flipping houses has been extremely profitable for the past decade, but 2023 should see the market tightening up quite a bit. With demand sagging, rehab costs going up, and days on market doubling or even tripling, house-flippers have a little tougher path to profitability than before.

So why not try the landlord route? With mortgage rates at historic highs, many would-be home buyers are opting to rent. Going from “fix and flip” to “fix and hold” could be an easy way to wait out the market — while collecting some very nice rental income. Who knows, you might even prefer being a landlord to flipping houses.

Buying will be easy — maybe too easy

After years of maxed-out demand and escalating prices, the market has cooled. Put off by high mortgage rates, individual buyers are sitting out, and even iBuyers, stung by 2022’s flattened price curve, have largely paused their acquisitions. Inventory is inching up, projected to increase in 2023.

For individual investors, that means it’s going to be a lot easier to buy in the coming year. There are more properties to choose from, since competition is at a low ebb. For many investors, especially ones sitting on a lot of cash, this could present an irresistible opportunity to go on a buying spree.

But be careful! After so many years of steep competition, it’s easy to get caught up in the moment and snap up a property (or five) without doing your due diligence. Although it definitely makes sense to take advantage of a slow market, stay cautious, stick to your principles, keep an eye on your investment goals and resist the temptation to buy just because you can.

READ — Start Investing in Real Estate: 6 Tips for Millennials

Don’t forget to keep close track of your finances

No matter how solid your financial situation is, now is the time to keep a very close eye on your cash flow and your obligations. You’ve probably heard the expression, “death by a thousand cuts.” In 2023, you could very easily go broke by a thousand cuts. 

Why? Well, the simple answer is that some investors are getting squeezed on both sides. Prices have flattened or declined in many markets. Interest rates have skyrocketed. The price of materials and contractors have increased. Rental rates have sagged, meaning that your income projections might fall short. Homes are sitting on the market longer, leading to carrying costs piling up, which can eat into your profit margins. Not to mention the historic inflation across the rest of the economy.

All of these little cost increases can add up faster than you think and burn through your cash reserves. Avoid being taken by surprise by keeping a close eye on your cash flow and constantly updating your projections with the latest data.

The market will evolve (again)

The pandemic seriously disrupted the real estate market almost overnight, as many fled large urban markets to settle in the suburbs and more rural areas. This deflated several booming city markets and sent prices rising in formerly sleepy regional markets. Investors followed, and some of the top house-flipping markets in 2022 were smaller cities like Greensboro, North Carolina, Scranton, Pennsylvania, and Buffalo, New York.

However, that trend seems to be on the verge of reversing in 2023. With the pandemic waning, many big employers are looking at ending or curtailing work-from-home policies, which would lead to a huge migration back to cities. That could give investors a bit of whiplash just when they thought they were settling into a new normal.

Avoid getting caught on the wrong side of the curve by keeping a close eye on movements in smaller, regional markets, as well as on big-picture employment issues. Then, allocate your money accordingly. And as you shift your investments between markets, don’t overlook new money-saving measures, such as buying or selling with low-cost real estate agents. Those commission savings add up fast!

 

Screen Shot 2021 12 28 At 113128 AmLuke Babich is the Co-Founder of Clever Real Estate, a real estate education platform committed to helping home buyers, sellers and investors make smarter financial decisions. Luke is a licensed real estate agent in the State of Missouri and his research and insights have been featured on BiggerPockets, Inman, the LA Times, and more. 

What Does the Secure 2.0 Act Mean for Retirement Planning?

In recent years, Congress has continued to push for changes to retirement accounts as they look for new ways to encourage retirement saving and create tax streams for the budget. Most recently, that includes the Secure 2.0 Act.

The Secure 2.0 Act was passed by Congress and signed by President Biden in the final days of 2022 as part of the 2023 Federal Omnibus Bill. The omnibus bill was more than 4,000 pages, included $1.7 billion in spending, and builds on the original Secure Act of 2019, which was the first major change to retirement plans in several years and opened the door for continued retirement plan discussions.

In the Secure 2.0 Act, there are dozens of changes that could affect retirement savings going forward. Here are some of the ones we believe are particularly important:

READ — Mapping Out Financial Success with Retirement Planning

Changes to Required Minimum Distributions (RMDs)

The 2019 Secure Act increased the RMD age from 70.5 to 72, which is the age retirement account owners are required to start taking distributions from retirement accounts. The Secure 2.0 Act took this another step and increased the RMD age to 73 years in 2023 and will eventually move this age to 75. 

The Secure 2.0 Act also removes the RMD requirement for employer retirement accounts that allow Roth contributions. This essentially treats Roth dollars the same whether they are in an IRA or an employer-sponsored retirement account like a 401(k). 

What this means for retirement savers:

By increasing the RMD age and removing the RMD requirement in employer retirement accounts, savers will be allowed to delay distributions and the corresponding taxes on these distributions. For retirement account owners who can afford to push back distributions, there may be opportunities to strategically plan out distributions during lower-income years prior to the start of RMDs. 

529 Plan Transfers to Roth IRAs

For years, individuals have been using 529 plans to save for their children and grandchildren’s education expenses. Occasionally, they save too much and wonder what to do with the excess funds. Currently, distributions from 529 plans not used for educational expenses are subject to income tax and a 10% penalty. The Secure 2.0 Act allows savers to rollover these dollars to a Roth IRA for the benefit of the beneficiary. 

What this means for 529 savers and beneficiaries:

If several conditions are followed, the 529 beneficiary (typically a child or grandchild) will be allowed to rollover up to $35,000 from the 529 to their Roth IRA during their lifetime. 

READ — Choose Your Own Adventure: What’s Your Investment Path?

Increased Catch-up Contributions for Retirement Accounts

Catch-up contributions to retirement accounts have been around for decades to allow savers 50 years and older to put additional savings into their retirement accounts. Secure 2.0 Act made a few changes to this process. 

What this means for retirement savers:

  • In 2024, retirement savers in employer plans such as a 401(k) or 403(b), who are aged 60 to 63, will be allowed to increase their savings beyond the normal catch-up contribution. 
  • Under prior law, catch-up contribution limits were indexed to allow them to grow with inflation – except for IRA catch-up contributions. Secure 2.0 Act addressed this exception to allow inflation adjustments for the IRA catch-up limit as well, which means that the $1,000 catch-up contribution will be annually increased in $100 increments to match inflation.

Catch-up Contribution Change for High Earners in Employer Plans

Starting in 2024, catch up contributions will be handled differently for high-wage earners, who are defined as those making $145,000 or more with their employer in the prior year. This amount will be indexed to correspond to inflation. 

What this means for high earners:

For high-income earners in employer retirement plans such as 401(k) and 403(b), catch-up contributions will be required to be made to the Roth portion of their plan. In the past, catch-up contributions have always been made in tax-deferred dollars for all employees. 

The Roth IRA catch-up contribution rule is an attempt by the Secure 2.0 Act to increase tax revenues by ensuring contributions to Roth accounts are included in taxable income for the participant. It should be noted that not all employer plans allow Roth IRA contributions. 

New Option for Surviving Spouse Beneficiaries

Currently, the surviving spouse has many options when they are named as the beneficiary. The Secure 2.0 Act adds an interesting new option to allow the surviving spouse to elect to be treated as the deceased retirement account owner for distribution options. 

What this means for the spouse beneficiary:

This appears to allow the surviving spouse to delay distributions until the deceased participant/owner would have reached RMD age. This could enable strategic distributions during lower-income years and potentially save tax dollars. 

The Bottom Line

These are just a few of the changes we believe to be the most relevant to retirement savers, but the Secure 2.0 Act has many other provisions that will affect retirement savings and will be important to monitor closely.

 

Josh HahnJosh Hahn is a senior vice president and manager of trust administration at UMB Bank. He is responsible for providing leadership, supervision, coaching and long-term training for a team of trust professionals. He also provides leadership in connection with the fiduciary administration of all aspects of accounts, including probate estates, custody, agency, IRA and other assigned accounts. Hahn has been with UMB since 2000. 

Colorado Finishes 8th in the Nation for Employment Growth in 2022

Colorado ended 2022 with continued strong job growth and is outperforming the nation in many areas, according to a report released today by the University of Colorado Boulder and Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold.

The Quarterly Business and Economic Indicators report is prepared by the Leeds Business Research Division (BRD) at CU Boulder in conjunction with the Colorado Secretary of State’s Office. The latest report for the fourth quarter 2022 shows that Colorado recorded 48,806 new entity filings, posting the largest quarter in the report’s history. Filings increased year-over-year by 37.2% and 11.8% quarter-over-quarter.

READ — Top Insights in the Colorado Job Market: A Look Back at 2022

However, delinquencies and dissolutions were also up year-over-year. There were 13,293 dissolutions in Q4, up 17% year-over-year and 14.5% from the previous quarter.

Existing renewals remained positive, increasing 2.9% (171,210 renewals) in Q4 year-over-year and 4.5% quarter-over-quarter.

“Colorado has continued our upward economic trajectory,” said Secretary Griswold. “With another strong year of employment gains and continued job growth, new business entity filings growing at a record pace and inflation diminishing faster than the national average, Colorado continues to lead when it comes to owning and operating a business.”

Inflation in the state continued to improve but remained high. In the Denver-Aurora-Lakewood region, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 6.9% year-over-year in November 2022, compared to 7.1% nationally.

December 2022 employment growth in the state increased 3.7% (104,700 jobs) year-over-year, which made Colorado eighth best in the nation. The largest annual percentage increases came from professional and business services and leisure and hospitality.

The state’s high labor force participation rate is driving down the unemployment rate and pushing up wages. Colorado’s unemployment rate fell to 3.3% in December, below the national rate of 3.5%.

READ — Veteran Unemployment: Untapped Workplace Resources

Colorado’s per capita personal income of $75,557 ranked seventh nationally, and per capita personal income growth (7.9%) ranked first for the second consecutive quarter.

Real gross domestic product (GDP) in Colorado grew 3.2% year-over-year in Q3, sixth highest in the nation. Real GDP in the nation also grew 3.2% in Q3.

Retail gasoline prices continue to yo-yo in the state: Prices began to normalize in late 2022 after spiking earlier in the year, according to the Energy Information Administration. In January 2023, prices were down $1.22 per gallon in the state compared to the June peak, but prices in mid-January were up $0.92 per gallon from the end of December.

You can find monthly information on key economic statistics and trends that impact the state on the Colorado Business and Economic Indicator Dashboard, launched by the Colorado Secretary of State’s office in conjunction with BRD.

How Colorado Businesses Can Benefit from Nontraditional Funding and Private Equity Firms

Today, many business leaders are faced with an increasingly complex business environment and economic uncertainty. Interest rates remain high and material prices and supply chain volatilities continue to hamper business as usual, leading many business owners to evaluate their plans for 2023. Whether they’re looking to align with a new partner, planning for an exit or otherwise seeking new growth opportunities, it’s important to understand the evolving finance trends and possibilities for securing additional capital in today’s ever-changing marketplace. Private equity firms and private debt providers are at the top of that list.

READ — Our Economy in 2023 — What to Expect

While most business owners are used to securing bank loans to help stabilize or grow their businesses, investment banking advisors are increasingly connecting owners to private equity and private debt providers to help them fund their Colorado businesses.

In fact, approximately 80 percent of the mergers and acquisition (M&A) deals completed in 2022 were private equity transactions. This is largely due to efficiency and speed of private equity firms, coupled with the growth of the private equity market, which has raised a record amount of capital in recent years. Reports from PitchBook indicate that in 2022 9,000 private equity deals were closed that were valued at over $1.0 trillion dollars.

Rising interest rates have also made banks pull back on lending, forcing many businesses to look elsewhere for funding, just as the private debt market began ramping up its search for new investment opportunities. As traditional commercial banks become more conservative, private debt funds are more accepting of lending and they have the flexibility to customize debt solutions.  

It’s important for business owners to understand this shifting dynamic so that they can appropriately source support and be prepared for the unique requirements that come with it.  

Understanding Private Equity and Private Debt

Private debt refers to securing funding from nontraditional lenders, including private debt firms, business development companies (BDCs), structured debt vehicles and Collateralized Loan Obligations (CLO), rather than from traditional commercial banks. Unlike private equity, private debt is highly focused on yield return from a straightforward loan, with no focus on growth returns from equity or ownership.

In contrast, private equity firms inject equity into the deal, which means their capital comes with an ownership stake in the company. They often invest in a wide range of industries and companies, from small- and medium-sized companies to more mature businesses, and they use a variety of investment strategies, such as buyouts, growth capital, and distressed opportunities. Private equity firms also provide operational support and expertise to the companies they invest in to improve their financial performance.

Higher Due Diligence is Critical

Whether you choose to pursue private debt or private equity, both require a high level of due diligence as it’s increasingly competitive to win funding from either source. 

Throughout the last year, Denver-based investment banking firm GLC Advisors has assisted in closing more than a dozen transactions involving private equity. Something the team has seen again and again is the crucial importance of due diligence in securing favorable deal outcomes.

Due diligence is the process of thoroughly evaluating a business or investment opportunity in order to assess its risks and potential rewards. It is, unfortunately, an area in which we also see many business owners struggle when preparing for a transaction.

READ — How to Prepare Your Business for Success in 2023: Insights from Founder and Fractional CFO, Dan DeGolier

When it comes to seeking a private equity or private debt loan, below are a few key areas of due diligence that investors tend to focus on, and which business owners should be prepared for if they want to stand out:

  • Financial performance: Private equity and debt lenders will expect to see several years of financial statements, including income statements and balance sheets to understand the company’s financial health, track record, and potential for future growth.
  • Market and industry analysis: Investors will also want to understand the business’s market and industry, including its competitive landscape, trends, and growth potential.
  • Management team: Private equity and debt lenders will assess the capabilities and experience of the business’s management team and potential for operating under new leadership.
  • Business plan and growth strategy: Investors will want to review the business’s plans for growth and expansion, including sales strategies, development plans, and financial projections.
  • Legal and regulatory compliance: Investors will also want to ensure that the business follows all applicable laws and regulations, including those related to taxes, labor, and health and safety.

Overall, the due diligence process helps investors understand the risks and potential rewards of a private equity or loan investment so that they can make informed decisions about whether to provide capital to a business.

Know When to Seek Investment Counsel 

Investment banking advisors are well-connected and know who to call to secure the best possible funding sources for their clients based on their goals. They are also tapped into local markets and know the unique challenges and opportunities that are available based on the region, state, or city a business is operating from or looking to expand into.

Despite reigning economic uncertainty and a potential recession, there are still many opportunities for business owners seeking support, partnership, and capital. Invesment banking advisors recognize the growing roles private equity and private debt play throughout Colorado and can help business owners prepare for and find the right lender for their needs. 

There are many factors that affect the value of a business and terms of private equity and private loan funding, including the overall state of the economy, the condition of the industry in which the business operates, the performance and financial stability of the business, and the availability of potential buyers. It is a good idea to work with an investment banking advisor or business broker to help you assess the market and determine the best source of funding for your business. 

 

Mike FleschnerMichael Fleschner is a director at GLC Advisors, where he provides objective, senior-level expertise for sell-side and buy-side M&A, capital raising, and strategic advisory within GLC’s Business Services & Diversified Industries Sector.

 

 

 

 

Michael RichterMichael Richter is a managing director at GLC Advisors, and has dedicated his career to advising business owners across a wide range of industries on mergers, acquisitions, debt and equity financings, and strategic advisory assignments within GLC’s Business Services & Diversified Industries Sector.

How to Sell Your House in a Down Market — 6 Easy Tips

For the past two years, the real estate market has been moving at one of the quickest paces on record.  With houses coming and going from the market in hours and sales prices at record highs, selling your house was never easier than in 2022.  But as mortgage rates rise, home prices level, and houses have begun to remain on the market for a longer time. While this slowdown is really a return to normal, it is still more difficult for homeowners to sell their house in the slowing market. It may take more time and a bit more work, it is still very possible to sell your house in a down market with a few minor adjustments.  

READ — All-Electric Houses On the Rise: Colorado Homebuilders Embrace Alternatives to Natural Gas

How to Sell Your House in a Down Market — Hire a Top Real Estate Agent

You can try to sell your house in a down market by yourself, but that may end up costing you in the end.  For sale by owner homes typically sell for less than homes sold with a realtor and take longer to sell.  A real estate agent can market and show your home to a larger number of people.  He or she can also assist in negotiations that may lead to a higher sales price and a faster home sale.  

Price Your Home Correctly

Yes, your neighbor may have sold their home for $100,000 over asking price last year, but that is most likely not going to happen in a slower market.  Don’t try to overprice your home, this will only lead to it remaining on the market longer.  But don’t underprice your home either.  A drastically low price can make buyers suspicious and turn away those who may worry something is wrong with it.  

Know Your Home’s Value

Have a comparative market analysis or pre-listing appraisal done on your home.  Both of these will give you a good indicator of what your selling price should be.  A comparative market analysis (CMA) is used to compare your property with recently sold properties nearby.  A CMA will take into account comparable properties such as square footage, age of the home, location, upgrades, nearby amenities, and other data in order to calculate your home’s value. 

READ — 2022 Trends in Colorado Residential Homes

Maintain Curb Appeal

There is a good reason why 99% of real estate agents believe that curb appeal needs to be on point when you are selling your home and it is not because they love colorful flowers.  Curb appeal has been shown time and time again to draw in buyers and to increase the final sale price of a home.  To up your curb appeal game, start with a deep clean of the exterior of your home.  Next, upgrade your greenery.  Plant easy-to-care-for shrubs and bushes and colorful perennials, and add a fresh layer of mulch to your landscaping.  Finally, mow your lawn. A fresh-cut, weed-free lawn can increase your home’s sale price by more than $2,000.  Use a weed control product and add grass seed to any bare or thinning spots. 

Make Necessary Fixes

Certain repairs should be done before listing your home so that if a buyer is interested they won’t be deterred by small defects.  The main fixes to make are roof damage, old windows, outdated appliances, and chipped or dull paint.  Roof damage can be a big fix, but a new roof goes a long way to attract and persuade buyers to purchase your home.  The same is true of replacing old windows.  Now more than ever, buyers are looking for energy efficiency and windows are one of the best ways to improve it.  Chose Energy Start certified windows as replacements and seal up any air gaps around the windows.  Adding energy efficient appliances is also appealing to those looking for savings on their electric bill.  

READ — 10 Easy Ways to Upgrade Your Rental Property

Get Creative with Marketing

Your home is listed. You’re having open houses and showings, but no offers have been made.  It might be time to step up your marketing game. Tell everyone you know that your home is for sale.  You would be surprised how often word of mouth leads to a home sale. You should also use Facebook, Twitter, Instagram, and even TikTok to get the word out about your home.  

When selling your house in a down market, every aspect of selling your home needs to be considered and planned out.  Hire a knowledgeable real estate agent, market your home like a pro and have your home in perfect condition.  Implementing these strategies will lead to a faster home sale and a higher sales price even in a down market.  

 

Andrea KeeneyAndrea Keeney is a freelance writer with HomeLight. She holds a degree in Secondary Education and Language, LIterature, and Writing from Eastern Michigan University. When Andrea is not writing she is balancing her time as a mother, fitness enthusiast, and avid gardener.

Is the Small Business Service Economy Poised for a Massive Comeback in 2023?

There’s an old saying: The (small business) show must go on. Well, that’s not exactly how it goes, but it’s the truth. Unlike other industries that are much more dependent on the whims of the stock market, the small business service economy remains steady despite volatile economic periods, like the one we are currently facing.

Small business revenues rose by an average of 87% between July 2022 and the previous year, and 80% of small business owners were confident they could withstand a potential U.S. recession, according to a recent report from American Express and Kabbage. Owners in the small business service economy are looking to leverage this growth by leaning into digital transformation, and integrated SaaS solutions may be the key to helping them scale.

READ — Half Full or Half Empty? Denver Business Owners Split on Optimism

What’s Fueling the Small Business Service Economy Growth?

Experts point to the post-pandemic reopening of events and travel as one source of renewed optimism. Jeff Keer, CEO of Planning Pod, an all-in-one event management SaaS for event planners and venues, couldn’t agree more. “Right now, we’re going through a period of fast growth,” said Keer. “Events are back, and they’re back better than ever — many of our clients are booked until 2023, some of them 2024.”

Travel is also booming. A recent report by Bank of America Institute showed small businesses signs of resilience, including increased credit and debit card spending and business travel expenditures. The number of travel transactions in the small business economy, per client, is at its highest level since the pandemic began.

Small Service Businesses Scale Using Digital Tools

Service business owners enjoying this period of growth know that what got them to this point may be different from what allows them to keep growing in the future. Customers have different expectations post-pandemic. Business owners are surviving by investing in digital transformation, prioritizing mobile and strengthening their data analytics capabilities. 80% of businesses fast-tracked at least some digital transformation programs in 2020 according to a recent survey from Dell Technologies. 

Matt Kauzlarich, founder of The Studio Director, a dance studio management software, saw how the pandemic impacted dance studios. “While there have been so many sad, unfortunate instances where studios were forced to close, it’s not been anywhere near our original predictions,” Kauzlarich said. “Studio owners were incredibly resilient, pivoting to meet the moment.”

Kauzlarich sees data as one major tool for small business growth. “I ask owners, ‘how much money does the average student bring in? What’s your retention rate?’ A robust studio management software can give them insights into making better business decisions and driving revenue.”

Moving from low-tech, high-touch business processes to an integrated software solution is helping many businesses exponentially drive growth.

“Whether you’re planning an event or you’re running a venue, having all those parts and pieces scattered across many different applications, pieces of paper, Post-its and emails, it gets so cluttered that it’s frustrating for these people, but it’s also a bit terrifying because if some of those details fall through the cracks,” said Keer.

READ — 4 Content Management Trends to Consider in 2023

The Customer is King

Ultimately, those small businesses that survived the pandemic and came out on the other side thriving did so by prioritizing the customer experience. “We’re going to double down on serving people in the events industry, in the live events industry,” said Keer. “We’ve built out more and more tools to help maintain and sustain their businesses after the pandemic was over, and it’s paid off for us.”

In particular, consumers are craving payment flexibility, including mobile wallets and the set-it-and-forget-it payment plans they enjoyed during the pandemic. Owners in the small business service economy that offer digital payments provide a better customer experience, increase customer stickiness, reduce churn, and improve customer satisfaction. 

Exemplary customer service is also top of the list for Kauzlarich. “Savvy studio owners know that change is inevitable,” he said. “Being resilient means staying on top of trends and solving problems for families and their students. The right management software will remove friction for customers and drive communication.”

For small service-based businesses, the future looks bright despite the recent economic woes. The industry is growing and looking for new ways to serve their customers.

“We’re growing pretty quickly in an industry that’s really coming back after COVID,” said Keer. “It’s almost overwhelming the backlog of all of that event activity that was on hold. People want to be together. That’s the biggest thing that everybody missed during the pandemic.” 

 

David Sharp PaysimpleDavid Sharp is general manager, payment solutions at EverCommerce. He has 26 years of experience in the payments and software industry and has led business development for payment network processing, agent bank and ISO programs, as well as a variety of alternative payment solutions.

4 Key Asset Allocation Strategies for 2023

We all know how painful 2022 was for investors. To put it in perspective, conservative balanced portfolios with 60% in equities and 40% in fixed income were down almost 20%. The more aggressive, all-equity growth portfolios were down over 30%. Even 20-year treasury bonds lost 30% in 2022.

This carnage was caused primarily by the Federal Reserve raising interest rates seven times last year, though the war in Ukraine and China’s restrictive COVID policy did not help. After such a horrible year, what do you do with your money? How investors position themselves from a risk perspective is vitally important; one way to do this is through proper asset allocation strategies.

READ — 7 Crucial Investment Strategies for 2023

According to Investopedia, “asset allocation is an investment strategy that aims to balance risk and reward by apportioning a portfolio’s assets according to an individual’s goals, risk tolerance, and investment horizon.” Investors must ask themselves how they would feel about losses of 30% versus gains of 30%. Is it more comfortable psychologically not to lose that much money on paper in a bear market or miss out on major upside during a bull market? If the answer is “I would rather not lose 30%, ” then you may want to add more defense to your portfolios through diversification. Typically, this is done with bonds, cash, or alternative investments. Another aspect of picking the right asset allocation strategies is whether income is important. If it isn’t, then a total return approach is another way to invest. The third option would be a balance of the two.

Asset Allocation Strategies: Income Investing Approach

For some investors, buying stocks and bonds for income feels better than just investing for growth, in principle. At least your portfolio is generating positive cash flow. After a year like 2022, this makes perfect sense. However, from 2019 to the end of 2021, you would have missed out on a lot of upsides when growth stocks were up double-digits.

The good news for income investors today is bonds offer much higher yields than just a year ago. In fact, you can get almost 5% on a 6-month treasury bill. With the 20% correction in stocks last year, companies’ dividend yields are higher too. Alternative investments may even pay 6-8% in distributions. With the uncertainty surrounding inflation and the possible moves by the Federal Reserve, if you can get paid 3-5% in income from dividends, interest on bonds, or distributions from alternative investments, that might be a safer way to go after last year’s carnage and nowhere-to-hide mentality.

READ — 5 Ways Small Business Owners in Colorado Can Survive Inflation

Growth Approach

Another approach to investing is to buy investments strictly for growth. This was a very successful investment strategy for many years until last year. In the low-interest rate environment from 2008 to 2021, companies with no dividends and strong sales did extraordinarily well. The largest technology stocks were the obvious winners, but cryptocurrencies and real estate took off too. The mindset was to buy riskier assets because inflation didn’t exist, and with yields near zero on bonds and money market funds, you were losing money on your cash. In a higher inflation and rising interest rate environment, riskier assets get sold, and investors gravitate toward safer investments. We saw this in 2022.

Balanced Approach

When it is difficult to decide between an income or growth approach, then a great alternative is a combination of the two. This simply means having 60% of your portfolio invested in stocks and 40% invested in bonds, alternatives, and cash. This strategy worked great from 2019-2021 but did not work in 2022 because of the massive increase in interest rates and the selloff in bonds. Now that the bond market has recalibrated and yields are so much higher, today is a much better entry point to build a balanced portfolio. You may be able to get a 3-4% cash flow stream with good diversification and less volatility, too.

The Bottom Line

Investing isn’t easy, particularly after a year like 2022, but as our Chief Investment Officer, Michael Dow likes to say, “volatility is the price we pay for long-term wealth creation in the markets.” It is time in the market that counts, not timing the market. Nobody can perfectly time the market. In fact, if you miss the best five trading days of the year, you will make significantly less money over the long term. However, having said that, you also need to sleep at night with asset allocation strategies that allows you to do that. If you get that piece of the puzzle right, hopefully, you’ll be able to retire comfortably down the road.

READ — Mapping Out Financial Success with Retirement Planning

 

Thumbnail Fred Taylor HeadshotFrederick Taylor is a Partner, Managing Director at Beacon Pointe Advisors, LLC. The information contained in this article is for general informational purposes only. Opinions referenced are as of the publication date and may be modified due to changes in the market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

The information contained in this article is for general informational purposes only. Opinions referenced are as of the publication date and may be modified due to changes in the market or economic conditions and may not necessarily come to pass. Forward-looking statements cannot be guaranteed. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. Beacon Pointe has exercised all reasonable professional care in preparing this information. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable; however, Beacon Pointe has not independently verified or attested to the accuracy or authenticity of the information. The discussions, outlook, and viewpoints featured are not intended to be investment advice and do not consider specific investment objectives or risk tolerance you may have. All investments involve risks, including the loss of principal. Consult your financial professional for guidance specific to your circumstances.

Tapping the Brakes on the Californication of Colorado transportation

Almost a decade ago, David Lewis wrote for Colorado-Biz that Colorado was “a natural-gas leader,” while European-based energy organizations crowed about the “Golden Age of Gas.” Natural gas-powered vehicles were the green-fad de jour in 2013. Many then, and to some extent now, can recall city buses and fleet vehicles with painted exultations of “this vehicle is powered by natural gas.” The reasons natural gas vehicles fell out of favor are enigmatic. Some speculate the fallout was attributable to the election of candidates with a worldview wholly opposed to hydraulic fracturing, also known as fracking.

READ — Clearing the Air on Colorado’s Emissions

Perhaps the reason is as simple as the emergence of a more viable alternative. Nearly 10 years after the natural gas vehicle heyday, the new darling in the transportation sector’s role in redressing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is the electric vehicle (EV). It didn’t hurt that the falcon wing doors on Tesla’s SUV reminded us of the De-Lorean in “Back to the Future,” minus the ability to time travel.

The clarion call to reduce GHG emissions is supported by research indicating an urgency to act, according to the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment (CDPHE), which says Colorado’s transportation sector emits more GHGs than any other sector.

Will EVs endure as the preferred panacea for the GHG in Colorado’s atmosphere, or will this remedy go the way of natural gas-powered vehicles? Signs point to the former being the most-probable scenario.

Gov. Jared Polis signed in 2019 an executive order creating a slew of EV-related directives:

  • Creation of an interdepartmental transportation electrification workgroup to develop, coordinate and implement state programs and strategies supporting widespread transportation electrification.
  • Creation of a Zero Emission Vehicle program by CDPHE’s Air Quality Control Commission.
  • Revision of the state’s Beneficiary Mitigation Plan, allocating the remaining $70 million of funds from the federal Volkswagen-emission case to support electrification of transportation.

In 2019, responding to the executive order, CDPHE’s Air Quality Control Commission adopted a Zero Emission Vehicle standard. The Colorado Energy Office then released in 2021 the Pollution Reduction Roadmap, which outlined strategies for transitioning Colorado’s transportation system to achieve 100% electric cars on the road, and a 100% market share for zero-emissions trucks among new sales by 2050. (Colorado already has a stated goal of 940,000 EVs statewide by 2030.)

Lofty goals necessitate aggressive strategies, which is why Polis adopted California’s vehicle standards under Section 177 of the Federal Clean Air Act, mandating zero-emissions vehicles statewide.

READ — Do Hispanics Bear the Brunt of the Energy Crisis?

However, the governor stopped short of an outright ban on the sale of new gas-powered cars, as California regulators have done, leaving many to question how committed he is to the cause. Whether the governor tapped the brakes on the Californication of Colorado because of election-year considerations is fair speculation.

Still, the greatest roadblock to achieving EV goals is the charging infrastructure. ColoradoBiz in 2019 reported on the dismal status of EV-charging infrastructure, and progress since then has failed to put a dent in the need. As of 2020, there were 2,000 public chargers. Studies suggest 24,000 will be required to accommodate the 2030 goals: an unfathomable 30% annual growth rate.

In the end, political realities will continue to rule when it comes to environment and transportation policies.

The Colorado General Assembly Is Open for Business — What Should Employers Expect in the 2023 Legislative Session?

After a turbulent election cycle that saw many pundits predict that the GOP would gain ground in both chambers of the Colorado General Assembly (or even possibly retake the state Senate), Democrats cemented their dominance of the state legislature with resounding wins in November.

With Democrats earning a 23-12 seat advantage in the state Senate and a 46-19 supermajority in the state House, paired with Gov. Jared Polis’ (D) reelection and victories in all other statewide offices, Colorado politicos and the state’s broader business community are anxious over what policies Democrats will pursue in the 2023 legislative session.

READ — 2023 Legislative Preview With 76 Group

Interestingly, both Democrats and Republicans are signaling that the economy and inflation, public safety and education — issues that were highlighted in both parties’ rhetoric in the leadup to election night—will dominate the policy discussions under the Gold Dome in the new year. Yet, while they agree on the top issues, how they approach them will be dramatically different.

Perhaps more importantly, how the Democrats navigate those issues—whose growing numbers are revealing a greater ideological rift between the party’s more traditional, moderate members and its powerful progressive wing—will bear the closest watching. That burgeoning rift may become even more apparent when it comes to foundational Democratic platform issues, ranging from pro-employee and pro-tenant legislation to environmental and sustainability policy.

With those inter- and intra-party power dynamics in mind, what specific legislative proposals might Colorado businesses see when the 74th General Assembly convenes for the 2023 legislative session on Jan. 9? And, what will the impacts on employers be if those policy proposals become law?

2023 Legislative Session: Workplace and Employment

Democrats—who have enjoyed single-party control of the legislature and governor’s office over the past four sessions—have pursued (and in many cases, passed) a variety of “pro-worker” bills, including repealing a statewide prohibition on local governments setting their own minimum wage, increasing safeguards for employees who engage in whistleblowing activities, and extending certain wage, benefits and other employment protections to agricultural workers. 

Most notably, Democrats passed Senate Bill 19-085—the Equal Pay for Equal Work Act—which generally bars employers from using an employee’s wage history in making compensation decisions. Additionally, the legislation requires employers to post all advancement opportunities to their entire employee pool when positions open, regardless of whether certain employees are ostensibly qualified to apply.

While Democratic legislators have styled many of their workplace and employment bills as common sense reform, in many cases the proposals have created palpable friction with Colorado’s business community. Chambers of commerce and other business advocacy organizations have repeatedly maintained that the mere cost of employers’ compliance with new mandates created by legislation, insufficient lead time for implementation and defending alleged violations of those mandates have harmed many businesses’ ability to optimally operate as well as damaged the state’s overall economic competitiveness. 

However, all indications point to more pro-employee bills to be introduced in the pending session. For example, Democratic lawmakers have signaled that the contentious Senate Bill 21-176, otherwise referred to as the Protecting Opportunities and Workers’ Rights (“POWR”) Act, will be revived. Most notably, the bill sought to upend the established legal standard for workplace harassment claims by removing the requirement that alleged incidents of harassment be severe or pervasive.

While that particular proposal was eventually abandoned by the proponents in the waning days of the 2021 session (due in no small part to fervent advocacy from the business community), the new composition of the legislature may very well result in a new version passing and businesses being increasingly exposed to workplace harassment claims.

Additionally, businesses may see more novel, but no less challenging, workplace and employment legislation introduced. For example, while proposals to prohibit employers from taking adverse employment actions against workers who use cannabis off duty has repeatedly failed in recent years (even as recently as the 2022 session), there are overtures that the measure may again resurface.

READ — The Impact of Marijuana Legalization in Colorado

Economy and Inflation

Like many states, lawmakers in Colorado have leveraged federal pandemic relief dollars and other stimulus funds to buoy existing social safety net programs and create new economic security programs. While certain industry sectors have received direct support, such as early childhood education and care, the vast majority of the state’s investments have been tailored to help stabilize middle- to lower-income households as opposed to the business community at large. Now, with federal dollars all but spoken for and the threat of a challenging year for the state budget, the likelihood of broad-based proposals to boost business appears remote at best. 

That being said, legislative-led economic relief may arise in other ways, such as stays on fees for certain goods and services. In the last several sessions, the Colorado General Assembly has instituted a litany of user fees on consumers and businesses alike, ranging from a 10-cent fee on single-use plastic or paper bags (the fee took effect Jan. 1, 2023), charges on the delivery of retail goods and a supplemental 2 cents-per-gallon levy tacked on to the state’s underlying gas tax to support the construction of transportation infrastructure.

However, because of persistent inflationary pressures, Democratic legislators—as well as Gov. Polis—have signaled a willingness to revisit some of the new fees (at least temporarily). Most recently, Gov. Polis led a successful legislative effort to delay the implementation of the new gas fee until April of this year. The governor has since suggested that a further stay on the gas fee, as well as exploring other fee reductions, may be appropriate to reduce operational expenses for the state’s employers and lessen Coloradans’ general cost of living. 

READ — Our Economy in 2023: What to Expect

Other

Outside of legislation centered on the workplace and employment or the economy and inflation, the 2023 legislative session includes key bills of interest to the general business community that may be introduced. It is expected that some Democratic lawmakers will seek to pass a “right to rest” bill that would constrain businesses and local governments’ ability to relocate unhoused individuals, a proposal that has long been a source of concern to retailers and businesses operating in the state’s urban centers.

Additionally, unprecedented spikes in the cost of fuel, baby formula and other consumer goods has led Colorado Attorney General Phil Weiser’s (D) office to prioritize price gouging and other consumer protection investigations, which could result in legislation increasing the attorney general’s investigatory authority or upping penalties for specific violations. Finally, there are rumblings that Democratic lawmakers might revisit a controversial proposal to limit the single-occupancy vehicle trips employees take to work by requiring employers to develop employee trip reduction plans whereby employees would carpool, use public transportation or work remotely to reduce vehicle miles traveled. 

Other potentially pending bills may impact certain industry sectors more acutely, including proposals to provide increased eviction protections for tenants or banning the use of certain chemicals in the formulation of certain consumer goods. In any case, the responsibility of governing—and the ensuing ramifications for Colorado businesses and employers—will be borne squarely by the party that has enjoyed unilateral control of the state legislature and governor’s office since 2019.

Will Democrats view their most recent electoral victories as a mandate to govern further from the left, or will they feel compelled to moderate themselves and pursue more collaborative, census policy? Only the 120-day, 2023 legislative session will tell.

 

Doug Friednash
Doug Friednash
Jia Meeks
Jia Meeks

Doug Friednash is a Shareholder and Chair of Brownstein’s State & Local Legislation & Policy Group and Jia Meeks is a Policy Advisor and Associate with Brownstein.