Q3 real estate market trends report

745 B Forest Road Exterior
745 Forest Road, Vail  | This timeless masterpiece, 4 bed/5 bath, 3,667 sq. ft. mountain modern home brings the ultimate Vail lifestyle home. Expansive Weiland doors create a one-of-a-kind indoor/outdoor entertaining space including a private creek side patio with views of Bald Mountain. Sold in July 2021 for $10.35M by Kevin Denton, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties.  

With fall winding down and winter on the horizon, the traditional seasonal market tempering is also following suit – if just a bit. Buying opportunities still remain and for those looking to make a move and sell, it’s still a good time.  

According to CoreLogic, the last 12 months have averaged approximately 18% appreciation nationwide. The number changes fairly dramatically depending on the specific area/market of interest.

That said, a recent survey of real estate entities expects home appreciation to still be on the rise for the coming year, estimated at 5.2% nationwide. Buyers who are expecting or waiting for the proverbial “dip,” and all things being equal, will likely find waiting to purchase may cost even more than today. 

For Eagle County, year-to-date indicators show that 2021 will likely be another record year in real estate, spurred by two of the County’s largest sales in its history – one for over $42M and another at over $30M.

This year has continued to carry the momentum of an active housing market that was expedited by the onset of COVID-19 and one that has been steadily increasing since 2012.

The coming year is setting up to be a modified version of the past two years, with buyer demand remaining solid amidst record-low inventory levels.  

75 Asterct 49 Exterior
75 Aster Court, Eagle Ranch | Located in the prestigious Highlands neighborhood of Eagle Ranch at 75 Aster Court, this 5 bed/5 bath, 4,458 sq. ft. custom home includes unobstructed views of the Flattops and Castle Peak from the expansive great room/kitchen area as well as multiple decks and stone patio on a large, beautifully landscaped, .74- acre lot. Newly listed for $1.897M by Liz Hasley, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties. 

What It Means for Sellers

Down Valley  

Liz Hasley, broker associate for Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties, notes that while the buyer frenzy has slowed from 2020 levels, there are still plenty of buyers out there. Pricing should be reasonable to attract the greatest number of buyers. Newer homes in the $1.5M or under category are still having multiple offers come in but not at previous levels. Looking at competitive comps is the best place to start when determining list price. When priced correctly, sellers can expect a greater number of interested buyers, who will likely include escalation clauses in their offer to drive up the sales price. Current inventory levels for homes $500K or less are still selling in a matter of days.  Homes in the $500K to $1.5K have the best opportunity to command top dollar as well as older homes that are staged properly.   

Resort/Luxury Market 

Luxury/resort market specialist, Meg Sierant, who closed one of Vail’s largest sales in its history this year, and also a broker associate with Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties, notes that homes in the luxury market, priced at $5M or higher, are not necessarily going to get into bidding wars.

“We still have buyers looking to buy here and enjoy the mountain lifestyle, but these price points appeal to a small pool of buyers,” said Sierant. “Ultimately, it comes down to how bad the buyer wants the house, the lifestyle, and the location. Be patient. Houses in the $10M+ range don’t sell quickly and keeping pricing reasonable and in line with location is important. Homes closer to the ski resorts will command a higher price point, as well as homes with unique and upgraded designs and finishes,” said Sierant. 

118 Snowgoose Eagle Interior
118 Snow Goose, Eagle | Located at 118 Snow Goose in Eagle, this 4 bed/3 bath plus office, 2,524 sq. ft. single family home in the popular Terrace neighborhood features a bright and open Great Room and kitchen, including vaulted ceilings and large windows. Multiple offers were submitted following two open houses with a sale price of $843K, $44K above list price. Sold in July 2021 by Liz Hasley, Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties. 

What It Means for Buyers

Down Valley  

While inventory levels are still at historic lows, Hasley notes that buyers should not give up hope. “You can still get into a home; you just need to make your offer as good as possible,” she notes. “Getting prequalified and knowing what you can afford before going into the search process are also key.”  

Hasley also notes that for local buyers, there are assistance programs throughout the County that help residents with down payment funding, including the Valley Store in Eagle, MiCasa in Avon and InDEED in Vail. “Don’t believe what you read,” Hasley notes. “Getting into the game  while the interest rates are still low gives buyers a leg up. Even if prices dip, if interest rates go up, buyers will be paying more. Ignore the rumor mill, we are still finding homes and not everyone is in a bidding war,” Hasley adds. 

“There is no cost to have a broker be looking for you. Interested buyers should go to a lender and get financing and address any questions. “It is not a big deal and does not require a lot of time. With financing in place, a buyer is then positioned to respond quickly and make an attractive offer when the right home becomes available.”  

Resort/Luxury Market 

Sierant notes that while the Internet offers access to a lot of information, many properties in the $5M+ market get bought off market. “Realtors have the resources to know about properties that never go into the MLS, as was the case with a recent sale of a luxury home that was on the market but went off and that was when the sale took place.”    

Ultimately, the success for sellers and buyers comes down to intimate market knowledge. This is where an experienced broker can be the catalyst to bring expert guidance and help buyers deal with multiple offers and for sellers, help them determine the best offer that will allow for timely closings and maximize ROI.   


Michael Slevin is the President of Berkshire Hathaway HomeServices Colorado Properties.